This year’s NFL rookie class, on paper, has the potential to be one of the best. Each quarterback is as decorated as the one next to him. Together, they have a collection of National Championships, quarterback awards, record-setting seasons, and talent both through the air and on the ground.
Last year’s offensive rookie of the year winner was Justin Herbert, QB – Los Angeles Chargers. Herbert finished the season with the following records:
- Total touchdowns by a rookie QB: 36
- Most passing touchdowns by a rookie QB: 31
As the NFL betting season kicked off on Sept. 9, PlayUSA has curated an Offensive Rookie Of The Year Tracker to help you follow the futures odds for each quarterback. Here are the current odds:
But before we take a look at the new QB class, let’s give some respect to those that came before.
Other notable NFL rookie QB classes
2001: Michael Vick, Drew Brees
What better way to start a list than with two quarterbacks that reinvented the position? Michael Vick changed football forever. In my personal opinion, he will go down as the first true dual-threat QB ever. Lethal both through the air and on the ground, Vick was selected to the Pro-Bowl four times and still holds NFL records for yards per carry by a QB (7.0) and career rushing yards by a QB (6,109).
Drew Brees broke the traditional quarterback mold. He inspired a generation of athletes by showing them; you don’t have to be 6’6′ – 235 lbs with a rocket arm to be an NFL QB. Coming in at 6ft, 209 lbs, Brees played his 19-year career with only two NFL franchises (San Diego, New Orleans). He went on to become a Super Bowl Champion, offensive player of the year, and 13x Pro-bowler.
2004: Eli Manning, Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger
Those that eat, sleep, and breathe football consider this the gold standard for an NFL draft class. Combined, you have a collection of athletes with four Super Bowl titles, 705 regular-season starts, numerous passing records, and pro-bowl selections. Each in their own right could make a case for the NFL Hall of Fame.
2012: Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins, Nick Foles
There was such a wealth of talent in the 2012 class. Andrew Luck was on course to become a Payton Manning-Esq quarterback, but early retirement halted everything. Robert Griffin III was the most electrifying prospect in college football and capped things off with an exciting rookie season. But, unfortunately, several injuries doomed his career.
Russell Wilson and the unlikely Nick Foles are both Super Bowl Champions, while Kirk Cousins and Ryan Tannehill remain starting quarterbacks for their respective franchises.
2017: Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson is the definition of a dual-threat quarterback. He single-handedly changed the trajectory of the Houston Texans franchise. However, his recent off-field troubles have put a sour taste in the mouths of those following his career. Nevertheless, his playing days are far from over, and many expect him to do great things for whichever team takes a chance on him.
Patrick Mahomes has been called many things, but already, many call him the greatest player of his generation. He’s a Super Bowl Champion, MVP, and part franchise owner of the Kansas City Royals (MLB). With a cannon for an arm, Mahomes fell to Kansas City with the No.10 pick and never looked back.
2018: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold
The youthfulness of the 2018 draft class means these players will be around for several years. Lamar Jackson is already an NFL MVP. Both Josh Allen and a rejuvenated Baker Mayfield could play their way into consideration at some point.
Sam Darnold has the chance to reinvent himself with his new team, the Carolina Panthers, and has the talent to do so.
The 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Futures Odds
Now, let’s look at some sports betting odds for the offensive rookie of the year award.
Updated: September 2, 2021
QB Trevor Lawerence, Jacksonville Jaguars
After being selected as the #1 pick, sportsbooks had Lawerence around +200 odds to win the award. Through training camp, those odds have steadily increased as the top-rated prospect has shown flashes of greatness.
By the end of August, some like the DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel list Lawerence at +400.
NJ sportsbook odds: +350 (Caesars)
QB Zach Wilson, New York Jets
From the start, sportsbooks had the former BYU quarterback listed reasonably high at +600. That number has stayed steady through training camp peaking around +850.
So right now, if you head over to BetMGM, you can find Wilson at +900 to win offensive ROTY.
Wilson has the talent to put up huge numbers; the issue in New York is his supporting cast. We know the award isn’t based on wins and losses. Herbert led the Chargers to a 7-9 finish in 2020 and still took home the title.
NJ sportsbook odds: +700 (FanDuel)
QB Mac Jones, New England Patriots
Mac Jones was drafted to be the backup to Cam Newtown. His odds on draft night to win offensive ROTY were around +800.
Fast forward to the start of the NFL season, Jones has won the starting job and will open the season as the Patriots starting QB. In May, you could have snagged him at +1075, but now the average is around +550.
NJ sportsbooks like DraftKings have Jones as high as +600 to win the award.
NJ sportsbook odds: +450 (PointsBet)
QB Justin Fields, Chicago Bears
On draft night, the city of Chicago was electric. Although many are not expecting a Super Bowl right away, the dynamic Justin Fields out of Ohio State has all the tools to be a game-changer for the Chicago Bears.
In August, sportsbooks had Fields at +400. Head Coach Matt Nagy has stood firm on his position to start Andy Dalton. But for how long? By the end of training camp, NJ sportsbooks had settled on +700, with some, like PlaySugar House and Unibet, going as low as +600.
NJ sportsbook odds: +750 (DraftKings)
QB Trey Lance, San Fransisco 49ers
The surprise pick of the NFL draft, sportsbooks had Trey Lance at +1100 to win offensive ROTY, the highest of the bunch.
It’s yet unknown when Lance’s time in San Fransico will come, making this bet very risky. However, he has a tremendous arm and is very mobile, making him a prototypical dual-threat QB. Since August, sportsbooks have lowered the odds slightly, with Lance now sitting on average at +725.
Right now, you can find +750 at the DraftKings and PointsBet Sportsbook.
The FanDuel Sportsbook, on the other hand, has Lance listed at +700.
NJ sportsbook odds: +700 (FanDuel)
Check each month as we follow any moment on these odds over the course of the season.