Academy Awards Betting Odds For Best Actress 2019

When awards season started, it looked like a certain pop star was a lock for the Best Actress Oscar award. Oh, how things can change. Now there is another near-lock for the Academy Awards, and she is someone who is very familiar with the honor.

Check out who is in pole position and which longshots are the best bet to cause the upset.

SportsbookGlenn Close (The Wife)Olivia Colman (The Favourite)Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)Yalitza Aparico (Roma)Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Golden Nugget-910+450+2200+4000+10000
William Hill-800+500+1200+3000+7500
Hard Rock-850+475+1800+4000+6600

Glenn Close (The Wife)

Legendary actress Glenn Close is known for her work in films such as The Big Chill, The Natural, Fatal Attraction, and 101 Dalmatians. Over the course of her 45-year career, the versatile star of stage and screen has won three Tony Awards, three Golden Globe Awards, a Screen Actors Guild Award, and three Primetime Emmy Awards.

In The Wife, Close stars as a woman who questions her life choices as she travels to Stockholm with her husband (Jonathan Pryce), a soon-to-be Nobel Prize winner. Her performance in the Sony Pictures Classics drama has earned her a Golden Globe as well as a Screen Actors Guild Award for Best Actress. When it comes to the Academy, Close is a seven-time Oscar nominee, meaning she has more nominations without a win than any other living actor.

With a chance at making history, Close is a lock for Best Actress. The Academy loves to reward performers who are consistently nominated without a win. Remember when Leonardo DiCaprio finally won Best Actor for The Revenant? Despite strong competition from Olivia Colman and Lady Gaga, it’s all but guaranteed that the Academy recognizes Close for a career filled with terrific performances. BetStarsNJ currently has Close as a -800 favorite.

Key awards for Glenn Close
Golden Globes: Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama
Screen Actors Guild of America: Outstanding Female Actor in a Leading Role

Olivia Colman (The Favourite)

English actress Olivia Colman is best known for her roles in Edgar Wright’s Hot Fuzz (2007), The Iron Lady (2011), and Tyrannosaur (2011). After working with Yorgos Lanthimos on his 2015 film, The Lobster, Colman reunited with the Greek filmmaker for The Favourite, in which she portrays Anne, Queen of Great Britain.

For her work in the period piece, Colman won the Golden Globe for Best Actress – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy and was nominated by the Screen Actors Guild Award. This is her first Oscar nomination, so it’s safe to say that the Academy will choose to award 71-year-old actress Close over Colman, as she’ll likely be nominated again in the future. Sportsbook playMGM currently has Colman at +550.

Key awards for Olivia Colman

Golden Globes: Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama
Screen Actors Guild of America: Outstanding Female Actor in a Leading Role
British Academy of Film and Television Awards: Leading Actress

Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)

Lady Gaga lives for the applause (the applause, the applause). The singer, songwriter and actress is beloved for her chart-topping singles and provocative visual style. In A Star is Born, the pop megastar plays Ally, a waitress and aspiring artist who falls in love with Jackson Maine (Bradley Cooper), a famous rocker with a drinking problem who sees her talent and coaxes her out of obscurity and into the spotlight.

A Star is Born was chosen by both the National Board of Review as one of the Top 10 Films of 2018 and won Best Actress, Best Director and Best Supporting Actor. It also received five Golden Globe nominations, two Directors Guild of America Awards nods, four Screen Actors Guild Awards nominations and eight Oscar nods.

Gaga delivers a fantastic performance in Cooper’s film, but it seems like the Academy will choose to recognize her contribution elsewhere, namely the Best Song category. Her song, “Shallow,” is a shoo-in to win that category, but the Best Actress belongs to Close.

Key awards for Lady Gaga

Golden Globes: Best Original Song
National Board of Review: Top Ten Best Films of 2018, Best Actress

Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)

First-time actress Yalitza Aparicio is the first Indigenous woman and the second Mexican woman to be nominated for a Best Actress Oscar, following Salma Hayek for her role in Frida (2002). In Roma, Aparicio plays Cleo Gutiérrez, an indigenous live-in maid in a middle-class household in the Colonia Roma neighborhood of Mexico City.

For her first time in front of a camera, Aparicio, who is a preschool teacher in Mexico, delivers a solid, naturalistic performance but it’s hard to imagine her winning the Best Actress trophy for her debut, especially considering the competition. As a result, Aparicio is a major underdog in the race, with FanDuel listing her at +4500.

Key awards for Yalitza Aparicio

Despite being recognized by various groups, including the Chicago Film Critics Association, the Critics’ Choice Movie Awards, the Gotham Awards, the San Francisco Film Critics and the Women Film Critics Circle, Aparicio has yet to score a major win.

Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

Known primarily for her work in comedies like Bridesmaids (2011), The Heat (2013), and Spy (2015), Melissa McCarthy ventures into dramatic territory with Marielle Heller’s Can You Ever Forgive Me? based on Lee Israel’s 2008 memoir of the same name. McCarthy stars as Israel and follows the author as she tries to revitalize her failing career by forging letters from deceased authors and playwrights.

The film has garnered near-universal praise from critics (it sits at 98 percent on Rotten Tomatoes), with the performances of McCarthy and supporting actor Richard E. Grant being the standouts. Can You Ever Forgive Me? was named by the National Board of Review as one of the top ten of 2018. For her work in the biopic, McCarthy earned nominations at the Golden Globes and the British Academy Film Awards in addition to her Oscar nod.

This is McCarthy’s second Oscar nomination and her first in the Best Actress category. In 2012, she was nominated for Best Supporting Actress for her breakout role in Bridesmaids. Like every actress in this category, McCarthy delivers a memorable performance worthy of a trophy, but it’s a crowded year and the Best Actress Oscar feels destined to go to Close. Currently, McCarthy is at the bottom of the rankings and the biggest underdog, with William Hill ranking her at +7500.

Key awards for Melissa McCarthy

National Board of Review: Top Ten Best Films of 2018

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