Academy Awards Betting Odds For Best Supporting Actress 2019

At this year’s Academy Awards, the Best Supporting Actress category is one of the most talked about. Three out of five nominees are Oscar’s heavy hitters, but the films of the other two nominees have been greatly lauded and well-reviewed. Here’s a look at how the nominees break down.

SportsbookRegina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)Amy Adams (Vice)Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)Emma Stone (The Favourite)Marina de Tavira (Roma)
Golden Nugget-335+400+650+2500+2500
William Hill-360+400+600+3000+3000
Hard Rock-290+425+575+2200+2800

Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Best known for her work in films such as Poetic Justice (1993), Friday (1995) and Ray (2004), as well as television series like The Boondocks, Southland, and Seven Seconds, Regina King is a versatile actress with presence and poise. In Barry Jenkins’ If Beale Street Could Talk, King plays Sharon Rivers, the mother of a young African-American woman who seeks to clear the name of her wrongly accused lover and prove his innocence before the birth of their child.

Based on James Baldwin’s novel by the same name, If Beale Street Could Talk was chosen by both the National Board of Review as one of the Top 10 Films of 2018 and received numerous award nominations, including King winning Best Supporting Actress for at the Golden Globes. The movie was also nominated for Best Motion Picture – Drama and Best Screenplay. The film also earned Academy Award nominations for:

  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Original Score 

Despite being snubbed at this year’s Screen Actors Guild Awards, King is still the frontrunner in the Best Supporting Actress category thanks to her wins at the Globes and the National Board of Review. BetStarsNJ currently has the actress as a -200 favorite.

Key awards for Regina King

Golden Globes: Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture
National Board of Review: Best Supporting Actress, Top 10 Films of 2018

Amy Adams (Vice)

In Vice, the Dick Cheney biopic by Adam McKay, Adams plays a steely, determined Lynne Cheney, wife to the most powerful vice president in American history. Lynne pushes Cheney to clean up his act and get serious about his political career, going so far as to campaign on her husband’s behalf and help him to win a seat in the US House of Representatives and, eventually, the vice presidency.

Throughout her career, Adams has been nominated six times at the Academy Awards, for:

  • Best Supporting Actress for Junebug (2005)
  • Best Supporting Actress for Doubt (2008)
  • Best Supporting Actress for The Fighter (2010)
  • Best Supporting Actress for The Master (2012)
  • Best Supporting Actress for Vice (2018)
  • Best Actress for American Hustle (2013)

She’s also won two Golden Globes for Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical for American Hustle and Big Eyes (2014) and has been nominated an additional seven times.

After being snubbed in 2017 for her Oscar-worthy work in Denis Villeneuve’s Arrival, it’s nice to see Adams back in the contention for an Academy Award. Unfortunately, it looks like she may have to keep waiting. Her performance in Vice has yet to earn a single award yet, which puts her at a disadvantage with King. However, with Emily Blunt winning the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, it’s still anyone’s race. There might be some wiggle room for Adams to win her first Oscar.

Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)

In The Favourite, Rachel Weisz stars as Sarah Churchill, Duchess of Marlborough, one of the most influential women of her time through her close friendship with Queen Anne. Weisz’s character is challenged by the arrival of her cousin, Abigail Masham (Emma Stone), who seeks to gain the Queen’s favor.

Known for her work in movies like The Mummy, The Fountain and The Brothers Bloom, British actress Weisz is no stranger to the awards circuit. For her work in the 2005 drama thriller The Constant Gardener, Weisz received an Academy Award, a Golden Globe and a Screen Actors Guild Award. Interestingly enough, she was nominated for the exact same three awards for her work in The Favourite.

While Weisz won Best Actress in a Supporting Role at the BAFTA Awards, that is her only key award. The feeling is that while her performance is deserving, the Academy will end up splitting votes between her and the equally brilliant Stone, leaving the race down to only two real competitors: Regina King and Amy Adams. Weisz is currently listed as a +1100 underdog by FanDuel.

Emma Stone (The Favourite)

Who doesn’t love Emma Stone? Known for her memorable roles in movies like Superbad, Zombieland, The Help, and Battle of the Sexes, the 30-year-old Arizona native was the highest-paid actress in the world in 2017 and was featured by Time as one of the 100 most influential people in the world.

Stone has been nominated for three Academy Awards:

  • Best Supporting Actress for Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
  • Best Supporting Actress for The Favourite
  • Best Actress for La La Land

Stone won her first Oscar for playing aspiring actress Mia Dolan in Damien Chazelle’s musical, for which she also earned a Golden Globe and a BAFTA Award.

Her portrayal of Abigail Masham in The Favourite earned Best Supporting Actress nominations for an Academy Award, Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild, and BAFTA Awards, but the actress has yet to take home a precursor to the Best Supporting Actress Oscar. The Academy will probably end up splitting votes between her and co-star Weisz, with Weisz getting the lion’s share. Stone is currently listed as a +1800 underdog by FanDuel.

Marina de Tavira (Roma)

A veteran of Mexican film, television, and theater, Marina de Tavira stars as Sofia, mother of the family depicted in Alfonso Cuarón’s semi-autobiographical drama, Roma. While she delivers a strong performance, Tavira’s Oscar nod is a surprise, considering she was entirely absent from awards season chatter prior to the nominations being announced. It would be unprecedented if she won the Oscar without being in the running for the Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild or Critics’ Choice Awards. As a result, BestStarsNJ has the actress as a +3300 longshot.

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