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With the Super Bowl behind us, the Trump administration has taken center stage in the predictions market at Kalshi this week, with two of the top four trending topics related to the president’s orbit. Among the top markets this week are who will leave Trump’s Cabinet, when the president will mention Bad Bunny, Bitcoin’s price and the winner of the 2027 Super Bowl.
Who will leave Trump’s cabinet next?
President Donald Trump’s administration has seen multiple high-profile departures, and prediction markets are speculating about who could be next.
The market lists Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick as the most likely to leave, though his odds stand at 28%, according to Kalshi — suggesting uncertainty among traders about who may be on the way out. Lutnick has faced scrutiny after acknowledging meetings with disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein, despite previously denying them.
After Lutnick, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem has the highest odds at 16%. Noem has drawn criticism in recent months over controversies involving Immigration and Customs Enforcement, including cases involving the deaths of US citizens.
Attorney General Pam Bondi follows 12%, along with Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 11% and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 11%.
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Since topping $106,000 in early November, Bitcoin has fallen to just over $68,500 as of Tuesday. The cryptocurrency’s sharp decline has fueled contracts speculating on when it will surpass the $100,000 mark again.
The market appears to be taking a longer-term view, with July 2026 holding 26% odds and “before June 2026” at 25%.
Will Trump say “Bad Bunny” this month?
After delivering a sharp review of Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny’s halftime performance at Super Bowl LX, traders are speculating on whether Trump will say “Bad Bunny” — or a plural or possessive variation — this month.
There is significant skepticism about another mention, with 31% of the market holding “yes” contracts.
NFL futures market takes shape for 2027
Following the Seattle Seahawks’ blowout victory over the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX, markets have shifted focus to the next championship.
The Seahawks are the favorites at 12%, followed by the Los Angeles Rams at 8% and the Buffalo Bills at 7%.
After those three teams, seven others sit at 6% odds: Detroit, Green Bay, Kansas City, the Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia and San Francisco. The Patriots are at 5%.
The week in speculation, priced in real time
This week’s Kalshi markets show how quickly political uncertainty, crypto volatility and NFL futures can capture trader attention. From potential Cabinet turnover to Bitcoin’s next push toward $100,000 and early Super Bowl odds, participants are positioning for both short- and long-term outcomes. Together, the contracts offer a real-time snapshot of what’s driving public speculation right now.
